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0910 foresight
作者:tasita
发表时间:2007-09-08
更新时间:2007-09-09
浏览:3427次
评论:0篇
地址:10.
::: 栏目 :::
Speculating
Book Reading
Alchemy of Trading
围棋

0907's intraday play is a mess. 盘前break down 1470的时候我不在盘前, 后面全天intraday play急于求成做得非常糟糕, total loss -6 points. 尽管如同昨天post的plan所说interday play [email protected] level 1456, sold at 1466. 但是由于1:4的size比例.全天仍然亏损很多. 导致这个short week等于白干了. 我知道主要还是我的internal emotion的问题, 不该埋怨外界条件, 但是review一下我每个周五的trade我发现, 周五总是我做得最差的一天, 有太多的电话, 人等等外界条件的干扰. 因为干扰miss了之后就容易心态变形. 以后我会在周五减少交易, 更加小心, 适当减少size, 以解决这个问题. 毕竟如果创造一个良好的external环境对于internal emotion adjustment是大有好处的.

ok, Let's foresee next week.
等待已久的expected down day终于来了, 幅度略微超出估计. 说明现在市场情绪的不稳定. 这个down day彻底解决了market shortterm overbot的问题. 比前两天的横盘更有效. 参考前面0905 chart speculation那个post的图. In my scenario, down pullback is over now. Next is up.
0910 is more likely a up day considering midterm view. Otherwise, today NYHL/NAHL show weak sign, so I regard midterm view as cautious bull.
1-2 days, UP considering midterm view.
1 weeks, Up channel is expected.
midterm view, 这里有些cautious的是, 前两天说最后一个midterm internal指标也cross up了, 但是今天的下跌导致这个指标又回到原区域, 就是说现在还不能reinforces bull midterm view. 对于这个现象, 在market没有跌破1435之前, 我define midterm view as cautious bull. 如果跌破1435则是big range market, 底部盘整stage 1. 如果跌破1375, a significant bull market would begin. chance is very little.

my plan, 至少现在这个位置I keep my cautious bull midterm view, 借用valueline的一句话market will go higher, but not a unbroken line up.
周五1466 sold之后又放了一个1455的单子 and filled. 对于这个interday play. I set limit sell 1460. And set another limit buy at 1452 (friday low) to make a interday play. First target 1480(1478 gap), second target 1490(1489 gap), up channel target 1510.
至于intraday play. I will do intraday long at day low unless 1450 is broken. 如果breakdown则chase in as intraday play. target 1435. 1435 will not be broken down by only once test, so I have also a 1435 buy limit order as interday play.


图refer to my previous post 0905 chart speculation(http://www.mitbbs.com/pc/pccon.php?id=2122&nid=23259&s=all), it doesn't expire. A chart speaks more than 1000 words.

Add:
I sold 1455.25(1455bot), and place two order 1451 & 1435.

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